Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 1, 2024

Updated Dec 1, 2024 9:54 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-139/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. rates in the 85th percentile for three-pointers drained while on the road, putting up 2.3 per game this year.
Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 35.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 95th percentile.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 5.3 three attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the LA Clippers, designating this as a good matchup.
The 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
The LA Clippers have played at the 8th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets.
Michael Porter Jr. will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production across the board.