Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 10/24/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Oct 24, 2024

Updated Oct 25, 2024 1:34 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-154/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 2.7 three-point shots per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league.
Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 32.4 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 83rd percentile.
The Nuggets will likely get a boost in plays today from competing against the 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league since the start of last season (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
Michael Porter Jr. will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually increases stat production across the board.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a tough one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (25.5%).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets grade out 10thworst in in the NBA while playing at home with only 10.2 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

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