Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/14/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 14, 2024

Updated May 14, 2024 10:17 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 3.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season on his home court.
Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 40.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 7.7 higher than he's averaged overall this year at home.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.
Michael Porter Jr. should see a rise in production across the board on account of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 1.3 3-pointers per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, making this a hard matchup.
The 3rd-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets grade out 8thworst in in the league with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.