Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/10/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · May 10, 2024

Updated May 11, 2024 1:31 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-143/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. rates in the 93rd percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while playing away from home, compiling 6.7 per game this year.
Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 40.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.
The Nuggets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In terms of 3-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the league on the road this year has been the Nuggets.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 26.8% on threes (4th-weakest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, identifying this as a tough matchup.
The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Denver Nuggets.
Michael Porter Jr. figures to suffer a drop-off in efficiency across the board in light of playing away from home in this contest.

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