Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/29/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat · Feb 29, 2024

Updated Mar 1, 2024 3:12 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-108/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. comes in at the 76th percentile for 3-point effectiveness with a a very good 38.0% rate this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. places in the 94th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, putting up 6.9 per game this year.
Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 31.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 5.8 3-point attempts per game (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, making this a strong matchup.
The Nuggets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

With respect to three-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.

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