Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. ranks in the 94th percentile for 3-pointers drained, compiling 2.7 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. ranks in the 82nd percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 31.3 minutes per game this year.
This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 5.6 3-point attempts per game (26th-highest in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, resulting in a strong matchup.
The Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the fastest pace team in the league over the last 20 games (the Bucks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 6thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets.
The most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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