Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2023

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Brooklyn Nets vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 22, 2023

Updated Dec 23, 2023 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+107/-139).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. rates in the 92nd percentile for three-point attempts away from his home court, logging 6.8 per game this year.
Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 80th percentile.
This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SFs have tallied 6.0 3-point attempts per game (27th-most in the NBA) against the Nets, creating a favorable matchup.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 3rdbest in in the league with 13.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Nuggets rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year with respect to treys.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Nets).
Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have brought down 12.5 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Brooklyn Nets (continuing possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense).
Michael Porter Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease player production in all stat categories.

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