Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2023

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Orlando Magic · Jan 15, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+126/-162).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +128 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +126.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 6.1 shots from downtown per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league.
Michael Porter Jr. has sunk an impressive 2.7 3-point shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 1.1 mark last season.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Magic is a strong one for 3-pointers; opposing teams have shot for the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (33.7%).
Michael Porter Jr. will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Magic have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.7) in the league to opposing squads since the start of last season when playing away from home (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year at home (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).

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