Michael Porter Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2025

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 17, 2025

Updated Jan 18, 2025 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. comes in at the 91st percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 33.8 minutes per game this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while on the road.
The Nuggets rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).
Michael Porter Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player production across the board.

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