Michael Porter Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers · Dec 13, 2024

Updated Dec 14, 2024 1:40 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-220).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -220.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has posted 2.9 assists per game this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric recently.
Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 34.9 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Michael Porter Jr. figures to see an increase in efficiency for all stats on account of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The LA Clippers have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.

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