Michael Porter Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Assists

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 1, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 3:05 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 2.9 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric in recent games.
Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 35.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 95th percentile.
The 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

The LA Clippers have played at the 8th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets.
Michael Porter Jr. will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production across the board.

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