Michael Porter Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 28, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 9:12 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 31.6 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a spike in possessions today from squaring off against the 10th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Kings).
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Kings have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Michael Porter Jr. will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally increases player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

The 4th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.