Michael Porter Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. rates in the 83rd percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 31.6 minutes per game this year.
The Nuggets are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 3rdbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.
Over the last 25 games when they are on the road, the other team has come down with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (lengthening possessions that can bring about additional opportunities for offense).
Michael Porter Jr. is expected to experience a decrease in output across the board as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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