Mark Williams Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2023

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Mark Williams

NBA · Player Props

Mark Williams

C · Charlotte Hornets

Rebounds

Toronto Raptors vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 12, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Mark Williams Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mark Williams has compiled 5.8 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's compiled over the course of the season.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which also lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA this year.
The Raptors have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (which also produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Mark Williams has tallied 13.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the least-used players in the NBA: 25th percentile.
The Hornets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Raptors.
Mark Williams will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to reduces stat production across the board.

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