Mark Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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Mark Williams

NBA · Player Props

Mark Williams

C · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Charlotte Hornets · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

Mark Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mark Williams has made a whopping 71.2% of his shots from the field this season, a big improvement over his 64.7 mark last season.
Mark Williams has played a terrific 26.3 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 18.7 minutes per game last year.
The Hornets have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hornets rank 7thbest in in the league playing at home with 11.6 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
Mark Williams has attempted 3.6 free throws per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.3 mark last year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Mark Williams registers in the 8th percentile for 3-point attempts, posting 0.0 per game this year.
The Hornets have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting Cs have totaled 11.1 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Nets, branding this as a hard matchup for offensive output.
The Hornets are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nets).
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the league) vs. the Nets (lengthening possessions that can lead to added chances for offense).

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