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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Points
Player Prop - 1/3/2024

Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors

Marcus Smart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has been on the court for 29.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 75th percentile.

As it relates to 3-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.

This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have registered 23.9 points per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Raptors, designating this as a good matchup for offensive efficiency.

The 7th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Grizzlies.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has successfully made 33.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 6.0% less than he's put through the hoop overall this season when playing at home.

Marcus Smart has converted 24.3% of his shots from downtown this year, ranking in the 18th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The Memphis Grizzlies have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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