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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Points
Player Prop - 2/15/2023

Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons

Marcus Smart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has converted 52.1% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 8.9% higher than he's converted overall this year.

Marcus Smart has successfully made 2.3 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year on his home court.

Marcus Smart has averaged 31.4 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

The Pistons have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (85th percentile).

The matchup against Killian Hayes is a hard one for shots from downtown; when Hayes is on the road and facing fellow starting PGs this year, they have converted a mere 30.6% of their shots from downtown (16th percentile).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.

As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free throw line of late: 2nd-worst in the league over the last 5 games, tallying a lowly 18.8 foul shot attempts per game.

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