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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Assists
Player Prop - 5/27/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Marcus Smart Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has totaled 6.1 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the league leaders by this standard over this stretch of games: 95th percentile.

Marcus Smart has tallied 31.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 85th percentile.

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (85th percentile).

The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Marcus Smart will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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