Marcus Smart Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Marcus Smart

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Boston Celtics · Jan 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Marcus Smart Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Marcus Smart has tallied 7.1 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the league leaders by this metric over this stretch of games: 97th percentile.
Marcus Smart has averaged 32.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 86th percentile.
The Celtics have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Hornets.

Favors Under

Marcus Smart has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
Marcus Smart will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally lowers player performance across the board.