Malcolm Brogdon Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Rebounds

Portland Trail Blazers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Jan 31, 2024 10:03 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +122 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has put up 3.7 defensive rebounds per game this year at home, ranking him among the hottest players in the league in this category in recent days: 76th percentile.
Malcolm Brogdon has averaged 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The Trail Blazers are expected to get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the quickest pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has collected 8.8 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) against the Bucks (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Trail Blazers.