Malcolm Brogdon Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 21, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 9:17 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-155).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has compiled 3.8 defensive boards per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category.

Favors Under

The Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the NBA when playing away from home this year.
The Trail Blazers will likely see a decline in possessions today from competing against the 5th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Suns).
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has brought down 12.3 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Suns (saving possessions that can result in additional chances for offense).
Malcolm Brogdon should experience a decrease in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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