Malcolm Brogdon Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Rebounds

Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 5, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 10:52 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-156/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -149 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -156.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has posted 6.0 defensive boards per game on his home court since the start of last season, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- among the league leaders by this standard.
The Trail Blazers will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).
Malcolm Brogdon stands to see an increase in efficiency across the board considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The 8th-most sluggish tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
While playing away from home, the Grizzlies have allowed the 7th-most offensive boards per game (10.9) in the NBA to opposing squads since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).