Malcolm Brogdon Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Boston Celtics · Mar 15, 2023

Updated Mar 16, 2023 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has tallied 1.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.5 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.
Malcolm Brogdon has averaged 33.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 90th percentile.
The Timberwolves have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Celtics.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player performance across the board.

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