Malcolm Brogdon Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Boston Celtics · Feb 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has compiled 3.5 defensive rebounds per game this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders in this category recently.
Malcolm Brogdon has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.2 more than he's been on the court for overall this year.
The Pistons have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which should increase plays for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
While on their home court, the Pistons have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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