Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2025

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 10, 2025

Updated Feb 11, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Wizards have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing at home.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to increase plays for the Wizards.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Wizards grade out 6th-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Malcolm Brogdon has successfully made 4.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 more than he's made in all games this season at home.
Malcolm Brogdon will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Malcolm Brogdon has converted a lowly 27.9% of his shots from downtown this season, significantly lower than his 38.6 rate last season.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.

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