Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2025

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 5, 2025

Updated Jan 6, 2025 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).
The Washington Wizards have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Pelicans have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Washington Wizards.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon has made 5.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's made overall this year.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 38.6% clip, Malcolm Brogdon's three-point performance has regressed this season to 28.6%.
In regard to scoring, the Washington Wizards's feeble 109.3 points per game comes in as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.2 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, struggling to get to the foul line.

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