Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2025

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Washington Wizards

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Washington Wizards · Jan 3, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2025 12:55 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 10.7 field goals per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 75th percentile among all players in the NBA.
In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Washington Wizards.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league this year.
The Wizards will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 6th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).
Malcolm Brogdon has converted 2.7 free throws per game away from home this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile among all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 9.1 shot attempts per game (fewest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, creating a hard matchup.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 7thworst in in the NBA on the road with just 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.1 free throws per game over the last 20 games (2nd-least in the NBA).
Malcolm Brogdon will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually decreases player production across the board.

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