Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2024

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks · Dec 30, 2024

Updated Dec 30, 2024 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has converted 1.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year on his home court.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have shot 44.7% on 3-pointers (highest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks, branding this as a strong matchup.
The Wizards have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games on their home court.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Washington Wizards grade out 3rd-best in in the league as the home team with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Among all players in the NBA, Malcolm Brogdon places in the 87th percentile for free throws drained, logging an enormous 3.2 per game this year.

Favors Under

The Wizards check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league as the home team this year.
The Washington Wizards will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Knicks).
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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