Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks · Dec 28, 2024

Updated Dec 28, 2024 11:00 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has converted 53.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 7.5% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season on his home court.
The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Washington Wizards.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon has made 2.9 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup against the Knicks is a strong one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 4.3 free throws per game this year (6th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Washington Wizards check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 4.8 three attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Knicks, making this a difficult matchup.
The Wizards will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year (the New York Knicks).