Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Charlotte Hornets · Dec 26, 2024

Updated Dec 26, 2024 7:24 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has made 57.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 9.6% higher than he's sunk overall this year playing at home.
Malcolm Brogdon has successfully made 52.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 8.7% more than he's made in all games this season while at home.
Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have scored 19.0 points per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, identifying this as a strong matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The faceoff with Brandon Miller lands in the 100th percentile with rival starting SGs converting an enormous 43.7% of their 3-point shots this year when they are on their home court.
The Wizards have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.

Favors Under

With respect to shooting, the Wizards's subpar 105.7 points per game measures as the 3rd-lowest in the league over the last 20 games.
The Hornets have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Washington Wizards.