Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2024

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards · Dec 21, 2024

Updated Dec 22, 2024 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has totaled 18.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 more than he's totaled over the course of the season.
Malcolm Brogdon has converted 52.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 13.5% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season.
This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 6.2 field goals per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Bucks, designating this as a positive matchup.
The 4th-quickest pace offense in the league this year has been the Washington Wizards.
The Wizards are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from competing against the 8th-speediest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Favors Under

The Washington Wizards check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production across the board.

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