Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 12/3/2024

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Washington Wizards · Dec 3, 2024

Updated Dec 4, 2024 1:35 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has converted 55.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 15.7% more than he's made from downtown overall this season.
In regard to scoring, the Washington Wizards's fantastic 114.0 points per game without the home court advantage ranks 10th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league this year.
The Washington Wizards are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
Malcolm Brogdon has sunk 3.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Favors Under

Malcolm Brogdon has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have posted 12.1 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, marking this as a challenging matchup for offensive production.
The Wizards check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Cleveland is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.4 free throws per game this year when the Cavaliers are on their home court (3rd-least in the NBA).
Malcolm Brogdon will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to decrease stat production across the board.