Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs LA Clippers · Nov 27, 2024

Updated Nov 27, 2024 7:42 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Malcolm Brogdon ranks in the 81st percentile for three-point shots drained, totaling 1.9 per game since the start of last season.
The 3rd-fastest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Wizards.
Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 3.0 foul shots per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the LA Clippers, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.
Malcolm Brogdon ought to see a spike in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The matchup against Los Angeles is a challenging one; when the Clippers are on the road, they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (11.4).
The Wizards will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games (the LA Clippers).
The Washington Wizards rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).