Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards · Nov 24, 2024

Updated Nov 24, 2024 4:49 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 12.3 shots from the field per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Malcolm Brogdon places in the 84th percentile for 3-point performance with a superb 38.2% rate since the start of last season.
The Wizards have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Pacers have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Wizards.
Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 2.9 free throws per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 4.6 three attempts per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Pacers, branding this as a challenging matchup.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually worsens stat production across the board.