Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2024

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Boston Celtics · Nov 22, 2024

Updated Nov 23, 2024 4:04 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Malcolm Brogdon comes in at the 9th percentile for personal fouls, totaling just 0.0 fouls per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.
As a team, the Washington Wizards have been very successful at drawing fouls in recent games: 7th-best in the league over the last 5 games while at home, tallying 23.8 foul shots per game.
Malcolm Brogdon will likely see an increase in effectiveness for all stats in light of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Malcolm Brogdon has converted 0.0 field goals per game at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 6th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the league, Malcolm Brogdon slots into the 12th percentile for 3-point proficiency with the home court advantage with a subpar 0.0% rate since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. Boston is a challenging one for shots from the field; when the Boston Celtics are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have compiled the 4th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (38.1%).
The Celtics have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Washington Wizards.
The Washington Wizards have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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