Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Washington Wizards

Points

New York Knicks vs Washington Wizards · Nov 18, 2024

Updated Nov 18, 2024 7:29 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 12.5 field goals per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Malcolm Brogdon places in the 85th percentile for 3-pointers converted, putting up 2.1 per game since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. New York is a good one; when the Knicks have the home court advantage, they have given up the most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (21.5).
The Washington Wizards have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 3.0 free throws per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

The New York Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which should reduce possessions for the Washington Wizards.
The Washington Wizards have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.
Malcolm Brogdon figures to see a decline in production across the board in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.