Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 3:13 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has compiled 22.6 points per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 4.6 more than he's compiled overall this season at home.
Malcolm Brogdon has averaged 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a good one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (21.7).
The Trail Blazers are expected to get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the quickest pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In terms of offense, the Trail Blazers's unimpressive 108.3 points per game comes in as the 2nd-fewest in the NBA this year.
The 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Trail Blazers.

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