Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Philadelphia 76ers · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 3:08 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has made 3.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year when playing at home.
Malcolm Brogdon has tallied 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 39.9% on threes (24th-highest in the NBA) vs. the 76ers, making this a strong matchup.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 15thbest in in the league when playing at home with 14.0 offensive boards per game this year.
Malcolm Brogdon has sunk 5.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Favors Under

Malcolm Brogdon has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.
When it comes to scoring, the Portland Trail Blazers's lackluster 107.8 points per game places 2nd-fewest in the NBA this year.
The 8th-least up-tempo tempo home team in the league this year has been the Trail Blazers.
The 76ers have played at the 8th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Portland Trail Blazers.
Over the last 15 games, opposing squads have come down with 13.3 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) against the 76ers (continuing possessions that can produce further opportunities for offense).

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