Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 29, 2024 2:17 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+112/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has notched 24.2 points per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 6.5 more than he's notched in all games this season at home.
Malcolm Brogdon has made 3.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's converted over the course of the year at home.
Malcolm Brogdon has averaged 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.2 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have come down with 6.6 offensive boards per game (fewest in the league) against the Chicago Bulls (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about additional chances for offense).

Favors Under

Malcolm Brogdon has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's tallied overall this season.
When it comes to offense, the Trail Blazers's poor 108.1 points per game comes in as the 2nd-lowest in the league this year.
This year, opposing starting PGs have registered 13.7 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls, creating a hard matchup for offensive productivity.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA while playing at home this year.
The Trail Blazers are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from sharing the court with the most lethargic pace team in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).