Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 23, 2024

Updated Jan 24, 2024 1:27 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 7.7 three attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, resulting in a strong matchup.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games in their home stadium, which ought to boost opportunities for the Portland Trail Blazers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 3rdbest in in the league with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Malcolm Brogdon has made 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.
The matchup against the Thunder is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.2 free throws per game this year (30th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 5.7 rate, Malcolm Brogdon's failed field goals have spiked this season to 7.0 per game.
Malcolm Brogdon has been called for 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
In terms of offense, the Portland Trail Blazers's unimpressive 107.6 points per game places worst in the league this year.
This year when they are away from home, opposing squads have nabbed 13.2 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (continuing possessions that can produce extra chances for offense).
Malcolm Brogdon is expected to see a decline in output for all stats considering being on the road in this game.