Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2024

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 21, 2024

Updated Jan 22, 2024 2:47 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 15.6 shot attempts per game (24th-highest in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, designating this as a good matchup.
The 8th-quickest pace visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Trail Blazers.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Trail Blazers.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 3rdbest in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Malcolm Brogdon has successfully made 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's made in all games this year.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 5.7 rate, Malcolm Brogdon's off-target shots have surged this year to 7.0 per game.
With respect to offense, the Portland Trail Blazers's feeble 107.5 points per game rates weakest in the NBA this year.
Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have brought down 11.6 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers (preserving possessions that can generate more chances for offense).
Malcolm Brogdon figures to suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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