Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 7, 2024 8:15 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 12.8 shots from the field per game this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Malcolm Brogdon places in the 78th percentile for three-pointers converted away from his home court, compiling 1.7 per game this year.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Brooklyn Nets have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (8.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to scoring, the Portland Trail Blazers's unimpressive 106.2 points per game without the home court advantage rates fewest in the league this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have totaled 37.2 three attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Nets, designating this as a favorable matchup.
The Nets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Portland Trail Blazers.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have attempted 25.2 foul shots per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the Nets, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.
Malcolm Brogdon will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually worsens stat production for all stats.