Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 1:44 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 10.8 mark, Malcolm Brogdon's shots taken have risen this year to 13.0 per game.
Malcolm Brogdon has successfully made 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's sunk overall this season.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise plays for the Portland Trail Blazers.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 3rdbest in in the NBA with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
The matchup against the Mavericks may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing teams have attempted a mere 21.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the league).

Favors Under

The Portland Trail Blazers have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year.
This year when they are on the road, opposing squads have secured 12.2 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Mavericks (saving possessions that can spark additional opportunities for offense).
Malcolm Brogdon will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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