Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2024

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 1, 2024

Updated Jan 2, 2024 2:08 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has made 7.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's put through the net overall this season.
Malcolm Brogdon has converted 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season.
Malcolm Brogdon has played 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 higher than he's played in all games this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 1stbest in in the league with 14.3 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. the Suns may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games (27th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 1.5 threes per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, identifying this as a difficult matchup.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from squaring off against the most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Phoenix Suns).
This year, opposing teams have snagged 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (9th-most in the league) against the Phoenix Suns (maintaining possessions that can bring about bonus opportunities for offense).