Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 19, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 10.8 rate, Malcolm Brogdon's shots from the field have surged this year to 13.4 per game.
Out of all players in the NBA, Malcolm Brogdon places in the 80th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, tallying 5.2 per game this year.
This year when they are on their home court, the other team has shot 33.4% on three-pointers (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Suns, designating this as a difficult matchup.
The Trail Blazers check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 3.1 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile out of all players in the league.

Favors Under

In regard to scoring, the Trail Blazers's subpar 107.6 points per game comes in as the 2nd-fewest in the league this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games.
The Trail Blazers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from squaring off against the most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Suns).
This year when they are at home, the other team has nabbed 13.8 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns (retaining possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).

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