Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 2:08 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 14.2 shots per game this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 5.3 threes per game this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile among all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Malcolm Brogdon registers in the 19th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a measly 1.2 fouls per game this year.
The Trail Blazers will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks).
The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to scoring, the Trail Blazers's feeble 106.8 points per game ranks 2nd-worst in the NBA this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league playing at home this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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