Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Utah Jazz vs Portland Trail Blazers · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 2:44 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 10.8 rate, Malcolm Brogdon's field goal attempts have jumped this year to 15.5 per game.
In contrast to last season's 40.7% rate, Malcolm Brogdon's 3-point effectiveness has increased this season to 43.5%.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 19 games in their home city, which ought to raise opportunities for the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 11 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Compared to last season's 2.6 rate, Malcolm Brogdon's number of free throw attempts has jumped this season to 3.7 free throw attempts per game.

Favors Under

The Trail Blazers have been the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup against Utah is a hard one; when the Jazz are at home, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs this year (13.4).
The 7th-slowest pace away team in the NBA this year has been the Trail Blazers.
The matchup vs. Utah is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted just 2.4 free throws per game this year when the Jazz are at home (14th-least in the NBA).
Malcolm Brogdon will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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