Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 12:03 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 16.2 shots from the field per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 10.8 mark last season.
Malcolm Brogdon has made a whopping 44.7% of his 3-point shots this season, quite a bit higher than his 40.7 rate last season.
The matchup vs. Cleveland is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Cleveland Cavaliers are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 30th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (52.2%).
The 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 9 games has been the Trail Blazers.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 12thbest in in the league on their home court with 10.6 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

When it comes to scoring, the Portland Trail Blazers's feeble 104.8 points per game settles in as the weakest in the NBA this year.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have brought down 12.3 offensive rebounds per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers (retaining possessions that can produce more chances for offense).
Malcolm Brogdon stands to see a decline in performance in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this matchup.

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