Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 15.0 field goals per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The matchup against the Jazz is a strong one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (6.9).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers rank 12thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 14.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year, opposing clubs have nabbed 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz (reducing possessions that could otherwise produce additional opportunities for offense).
Malcolm Brogdon will likely see a rise in production for all stats due to holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

In regard to offense, the Portland Trail Blazers's lackluster 103.2 points per game as the road team ranks fewest in the NBA this year.
The 5th-slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Trail Blazers.
Malcolm Brogdon has successfully made just 75.0% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit less than his 85.9 mark last year.
The matchup vs. Utah may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.0 free throws per game over the last 7 games when the Utah Jazz are on their home court (7th-least in the NBA).

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