Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 21, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 10:57 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 10.8 clip, Malcolm Brogdon's shots from the field have surged this year to 15.1 per game.
In comparison to last season's 4.5 mark, Malcolm Brogdon's three-point attempts have increased this season to 5.9 per game.
Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 3.8 free throws per game this season, a significant increase from his 2.6 mark last season.
The matchup against Phoenix is a good one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted an enormous 5.0 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Suns are at home (30th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 17.6 points per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Suns, resulting in a tough matchup for offensive productivity.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the NBA when playing away from home this year.
The Trail Blazers will likely see a decline in possessions today from competing against the 5th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Suns).
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has brought down 12.3 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Suns (saving possessions that can result in additional chances for offense).

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